AS THE ROMANS SAY, "RARA SUNT CARA". RARE IS VALUABLE. (CHINA)

The changes in diet occurring in China carry rippling effects around the world. What China’s hungry for makes a difference, said Janet Larsen of the Earth Policy Institute, adding that, “when a few people jump it may cause a ripple, but when a billion people jump, it’s a major shockwave.”

This week, we will be momentarily going back in time in China to compare eating habits in the past to today's eating habits.

Sorry, it might not be all that fancy...

Last week we focused on the consumption trends in USA, this week we are focusing on an even bigger area and an even bigger problem. China now eats twice as much meat as the United States. This is evident in the diagram below. Meat consumption in China is increasing for various reasons and we will be inspecting the main reasons for this trend in today's post. 

Meat consumption compared between China and U.S.

China in 1980's:

Meat was seen as a luxury; each Chinese ate just 13kg of meat, the equivalent to one tenth of a pig a year. On the other hand, beef was so rare it was nicknamed "Millionaire's meat". 

As China started to emerge from a state of poverty, meat consumption increased. As the Romans say, "Rara Sunt Cara", Rare is valuable. Since China's incomes were, and still are increasing many traditional Chinese foods are being switched to the 'luxury foods'. Instead of rice, individuals are replacing this with meats. Beginning in the 1980s, officials enacted measures to promote livestock production, including support for development of a feed-milling industry and subsidized imports of more productive animal breeds. Such incentives has led to incorrect information in the economy and incorrect incentives; individuals became more enthusiastic about livestock production and began to see it positively.

Dinner would probably look something like this in 1980's

China today:

Currently, China is a big player not only on the demand side, but the supply side too. “China produces and consumes about half of the pork in the world,” Schuele said." Consumption and demand of meat is increasing as low income families gradually climb the ladder up to become middle income families. The meals an average Chinese middle income family is eating now, would be a feast to their parents. 

Moreover, Meat consumption is doubling every 10 years." In all, the country now eats more than 60m tonnes of meat a year; equivalent to 240 million cows, or 600 million pigs, or 24 billion chickens. These facts suggest a very large scale problem that is arising not only in the respects of greenhouse gases emitted in the process but also feed needed for the livestock. Since meat consumption is increasing, it has led to individuals noticing this trend and moving towards setting up small farms. A shift in those with household and small farm productions to larger scale meat factories. This seems to be showing a cyclical trend, in which higher demands lead to higher supply and this reduces prices, such that demand can increase even more.

A meal in China today

Benefits:

So far we have focused on the trends in meat production and consumption in China. Having read my previous posts, one can assume that the increasing trends are detrimental to the planet. It is true in some respects, but on a micro level, it has actually shown a big improvement to the Chinese people's lives.

In lifting 300 million people out of poverty over the past 30 years, China also saw an improvement in diets that made the country healthier. According to the World Food Programme, a six-year-old boy today in China is 6kg heavier and 6cm taller than his counterpart at the start of economic reforms in 1978.

Although it may be true that the health conditions of the people in China may have improved, this correlation may not be directly as a result of the consumption of meat. It could be argued that due to increasing incomes, families can now afford to buy more varieties of foods. In poorer areas of China, families may be eating the exact same foods at each meal; this means the nutrients absorbed would be very limited. By having higher incomes, more varied vegetables could be introduced into the Chinese diet instead of putting emphasis on the role of meat.

Beef:

Beef has not become as popular in China because cattle in feedlots gobble up about 7 pounds of grain for each pound of weight gain. For pigs, the feeding ratio is 3 to 1, and for chickens it is 2 to 1. With one fifth of the world's population and limited land and water supplies, China has had to rely heavily on the more-efficient forms of animal protein. 

This is good news for the environment since beef is the biggest contributor to global warming as discussed in previous posts. On the other hand, other meats have been a big hit in China instead.

Pork:

Over half of the world's pigs now live in China. By the end of the year, it is projected that there will be almost twice as many pigs in China as people in America. In the last few decades, China has developed the world's largest pork industry to feed a rising middle class. A quickly rising appetite for pork in China has fueled the sudden jump in production. In mid 1970s, an average Chinese citizen ate 8kg of pork a year. Now, each person eats about 39kg of pork a year. 

China has now overtaken American pork consumption

Poultry:

Poultry production never existed prior to 1978. Chicken flocks in China have grown rapidly. Since the raising of chickens are much simpler and easier than raising ruminants, China has been a big producer of Chickens. The demand and consumption of poultry is also growing.

Although some may perceive that consuming poultry is not as bad for the environment since chickens do not emit methane the way ruminants do, the main environmental concerns are derived from the chicken feed. According to earth-policy.org, more than 60% of the world soybean exports, nearly all from the United States, Brazil and Argentina, go to China. These crops are very often grown in highly unsustainable conditions; ways which involve deforestation which leads to a reduction of biodiversity. 

Sorry, you just can't win either way I'm afraid.

Happy Meatless Monday! Tune in next Monday for a new post on UK meat consumption trends!

SUPER SIZE ME (U.S.A.)

If everyone in the world ate like the average American, the Global Footprint Network estimates that we would need 4.1 planet earths – unfortunately, we only have one. 

Global meat production is highest in China, EU and the USA. Of the three, the US is highlighted as having the highest meat demand among the rich countries as identified in a previous post on worldwide production and consumption compared according to the Business Insider. Consequently, we will be focusing on the US in the current post leaving the remaining countries in the following posts.

This week I watched a video called 'Meat the Truth' based on the contribution of the livestock industry on greenhouse gas emissions. It highlights how citizens are not often aware of the main contributor to global warming mostly thinking that it lies in the transport sector. Their reactions after finding out that livestock production is the biggest contributor is extremely invaluable in understanding that there is much more to be done in educating the world on the facts of global warming. (18% of global warming is from the livestock sector, whilst 13% is from thetransport sector.) Although, we cannot fully put consumers at fault, since "livestock's impact is not well understood by the public, or even thefarmers themselves" quoted by FAO. 

What I found most interesting in the video was Howard Lyman who illustrated exactly that.  He was a farm owner who did not fully understand his responsibility and contributions to global warming. But when he did, he closed down his farm and became vegan. This goes to show just how consequential and significant it is, for one to be educated in this sector and for them to realise that they have the power to turn it around. Furthermore, the video neatly portrays how cutting down meat consumption can make a remarkable impact through easily digestible analogies. 

This talk was presented in America with the data used being interviews of the American people. Thus, a lot of the information is reared towards the American diets and opinions. Nonetheless, it is extremely interesting to watch. I won't delay you any more, enjoy!

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After watching the video, we may all be feeling kind of guilty for the burger meal we just consumed for lunch... well, on the bright side, here are some facts that suggest the livestock sector is not as bad or exaggerated as it seems in the video, and perhaps there are a few positive changes in consumption habits since the video has been made.

Cattle inventory:

As shown above, cattle inventory in America is reducing slowly and this is a good sign. In addition, as illustrated in the graph below, that despite a steep inclination leading up to 2012, we can see that there is a definite decline in meat consumption recently. Thus, again, we may see this positively.

Total meat consumption in USA

This reduction in meat consumption could be as a result of consumers becoming more health conscious, but it could also just be because of stagnant population and income growth. Despite the reason, a slight reduction is definitely a good sign. Having seen some evidence of a turn in the American consumption habits, the picture gets a bit blurry at this point, when we discuss the changes in different meats consumed;

Although we can see that the consumption of beef is declining, the consumption of other meats is increasing. Having been a very loyal reader of my blog (I'm sure you are), you may notice that cows seem to be contributing to global warming more so than other animals; nonetheless, the increase in other meats being consumed means this could reach an equilibrium in which a reduction in one area and an increase in another will simply balance out.

This highlights that although the video is quite hard on the view that Americans need to immediately change their diets by precisely pinpointing why we should be reducing our meat consumption, the graphs above is indicative that perhaps America has been slowly putting some efforts towards this.

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If you didn't get a chance to watch the video, this is the main thing I would want you to take from it:

If all Americans ate vegetarian for:

7 days a week, they would save around 700 megatonnes of greenhouse gases emissions, which is equivalent to taking every single car off the roads in America.

6 days a week, that is equivalent to eliminating the total electricity use of all households in the States.

5 days a week, that is equivalent to planting 13 billion trees in your garden and letting them grow for 10 years

4 days a week, carbon savings halving electric use of electricity gas oil petroleum and karosene

3 days a week, almost 300 mega tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions - more impact than replacing all cars in US with hybrid ones.

2 days a week, same positive effect as reducing greenhouse gases as replacing all household appliances with energy efficient ones

1 day a week, 90 million plane tickets from New York to LA and vice versa


So, is your meatless day just Monday/one day? If you came from being no meatless day to one meatless day, I'm already very, very proud of you.

Happy Meatless Monday! Tune in next Monday for a new post on the consumption patterns of China!

WELL, MAYBE THERE ARE ULTERIOR MOTIVES TO TURNING VEGETARIAN...

On a lighthearted note... 

9 Reasons why Vegetarians Make Awesome Girlfriends

GET VEGUCATED

This week I came across a documentary which highlighted the journey of a few Americans changing their American diets to a vegan diet. Being able to see Americans go from one extreme to the other; being heavy meat eaters and transitioning to clean plant based palettes is actually very inspiring.

The journeys show how each person from varying backgrounds went through ups and downs through the transition phase and dictates the possible trip ups we may face which are all rather understandable.

Take a look at the documentary to see how they change their diets and the explanations on environmental impacts but also, whether livestock production is as humane as we imagine!


If you only want to see the environmental impact explanation only, skip to 35.00mins! 

Happy watching!

Perhaps even UCL should get vegucated!!

These are some posters I spotted around UCL...

Although the information may be true, and of course we should all think twice before using up resources, but I have never EVER come across a poster in canteens to say 'Did you know of the impacts of choosing this meal of steak and chips?'

COUNTRIES COMPARED

Today we will be focusing on the worldwide meat production and consumption.

If you were interested in the previous post (the table with a breakdown of meat and milk consumption per country/region) here is a more comprehensive review of the meat production and consumption for ya! 

For those who prefer a more visual breakdown;

1) Worldwide Meat Production

The production of meats in USA and Europe is increasing, however this is equally matched by increasing prices due to the high costs associated to livestock production. However, pigs and poultry are doing well in the market since both species do not need a lot of feed and can be kept in confined spaces.

2) Top Ten International Meat Industry:

Four out of the ten are based in the US; Cargill, Smithfield Foods, Tyson Foods and Hormel Foods. Three are located in Brazil; JBS, BRF and Marfrig. The rest are in Denmark, Netherlands and Japan.

Looking more carefully at the estimated meat consumption and the forecast, it seems that the increasing meat trend may not be so applicable to all countries.

3) Demand in the rich world

This may actually reflect on the fact that the 'richer' may be positively correlated to being more 'educated' and thus may be seeing a reduction in meat consumption. Despite this, only in less than half of the cases shown in the diagram above, shows a decline in meat consumption. Even so, the decline is very minimal and would be outweighed by the increases in meat demand. For example, by 2020, China's poultry production will increase by 37%, Brazil's will increase 28% and U.S. will increase by 16%. Nevertheless, the fact that there are forecasts for some countries lowering their meat demand is a good sign and goes to show that perhaps we can turn the tables.

Having identified and compared the different meat consumption patterns of different countries, we will proceed to look more carefully into specific regions in future posts!

Happy Meatless Monday! Tune in next Monday for a new FUN MYSTERY POST! Look forward to it!

GLOBAL WARMING CONCLUSIONS

After our discussion on the main contributors to global warming and environmental change, here is a wrap up of what we can possibly conclude from research and data.

Possible conclusions and predictions:

Overall, the increasing global demand for meat is most likely to negative effect the environment. 

1) Demand

Since the demand for meat is increasing (perhaps even exponentially) through developing countries, increase in incomes, population growth and urbanisation, the amount of livestock would probably increase since suppliers and those in the industry will see this as a profitable opportunity. Predicted by WHO, annual meat production is projected to increase from 218 million tonnes in 1997 - 1999 to 376 million tonnes by 2030.

2) Supply - Large scale production

Since more space will be needed for large scale production of meat, whether it is areas for the livestock to live and graze, but also slaughter houses. This means there are implications for these processes to become more closely located to urban centres. By being in close proximity with urban centres, a range of environmental and health risks will potentially exist, such as those mentioned before. Land and water requirements would lead to a degradation and depletion of resources. 

3) Urbanisation and development

Due to urbanisation, development in certain countries and technological improvements, transportation of meats are becoming more efficient. This has also spurred on a 'taste for meat'  This is evident in city dwellers who have a varied diet rich in animal proteins and fats, and characterized by higher consumption of meat, poultry, milk and other dairy products. This can be seen in the table below. There is a significant increase in meat consumption in Brazil and China. However it can be seen that the consumption in North America and other developed countries remain at a much higher level. 

Per capita consumption of livestock products

Region	Meat (kg per year)			Milk (kg per year)
	1964 - 1966	1997 - 1999	2030	1964 - 1966	1997 - 1999	2030
World	24.2	36.4	45.3	73.9	78.1	89.5
Developing countries	10.2	25.5	36.7	28.0	44.6	65.8
Near East and North Africa	11.9	21.2	35.0	68.6	72.3	89.9
Sub-Saharan Africaa	9.9	9.4	13.4	28.5	29.1	33.8
Latin America and the Caribbean	31.7	53.8	76.6	80.1	110.2	139.8
East Asia	8.7	37.7	58.5	3.6	10.0	17.8
South Asia	3.9	5.3	11.7	37.0	67.5	106.9
Industrialized countries	61.5	88.2	100.1	185.5	212.2	221.0
Transition countries	42.5	46.2	60.7	156.6	159.1	178.7

^a Excludes South Africa.

Source: Adapted from reference 4 with the permission of the publisher.

As shown, the global demand is increasing in general, but is especially prominent in the BRICS, the five main emerging national economies which represent the trend in growing meat demand within countries with increasing income and wealth. 

The flip side

Although meat consumption can be seen to be increasing in the BRICS, it has actually stagnated in the U.S. according to Business Insider. Perhaps it can be argued that more educated and industrialised the countries are, despite having seen a rapid increase in meat production since 1950s, it has recently stagnated. For example, in the U.S., consumption has dropped by 9% from 2007 to 2012. This could be due to low-meat trends, and more educated consumers who are more concerned with the source of the meats. Furthermore, due to the horse meat scandal which was marketed as beef in early 2013, consumers have become more cautious about what they are eating and the credibility of food labels.

Conclusions:

Perhaps the key conclusion here, is trying to educate consumers on the health risks, environmental risks and the reality of how livestock are treated which can then reduce demand for meat. Although policy measures can be put into place to help reduce the harmful effects, consumers also play a big part too.

According to www.virtualcentre.org, the best way to improve efficiency is to price natural resources with the externalities considered. This is because when public resources are underpriced, it causes overexploitation. As a result, such a pricing strategy is able to allow individuals who use the resources to be mindful of the real cost of its usage.

Efforts here can lead to large and multiple payoffs.

Possible solutions:

To reduce greenhouse gases that have been and will be emitted as a result of the livestock sector, a few solutions have been raised in 'Livestock's Long Shadow':

• Restore historical losses through conservation tillage
• Agroforestry (a more sustainable land use system in which trees or shrubs are grown around or among crops to promote more healthy, sustainable and productive land usage)
• Restoration of desertified pastures
• Methane emissions: improved diets to reduce enteric fermentation, improved manure management, biogas
• Nitrogen emissions: improved diets and manure management
• Use tradable rights for natural resources
• Remove damaging subsidies and alter the price for the resources in order to take into account the environmental externalities

How can we move on from here?

Educate yourself about meat production and consumption. So stay tuned... *wink

 

Happy Meatless Monday! Tune in next Monday for a new post on the consumption patterns by country!

BIODIVERSITY

"Conservation International has identified 35 global hotspots for biodiversity, characterized by exceptional levels of plant endemism and serious levels of habitat loss. Of these, 23 are reported to be affected by livestock production."

So, what is habitat destruction?

THIS IS HABITAT DESTRUCTION.

Habitat destruction is altering the environment in which organisms live such that the conditions of the environment is no longer fit for their requirements. This may lead to them moving to other more suitable areas that suit their needs to survive, or could ultimately lead to extinction. Habitat destruction is currently ranked the highest in causing animal extinction worldwide.

Although the above quote suggests that 23 out of 35 of the global hot spots for biodiversity is affected by livestock production, the website does not then go on to explain how the country is classified as 'affected' and does not include an explanation as to how it is measured. Nonetheless, it is a very significant figure and should not be ignored.

World Conservation Union (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species shows that most of the world's threatened species are suffering habitat loss where livestock are a factor.

If you're interested, hop onto the website: http://www.iucnredlist.org/ and refine your search by changing the categories (to find out about livestock production affects, choose the option 'Threats' and then choose 'Agriculture').

Possible solutions:

Wild areas need to be protected as much as possible, either through buffer zones which can protect a conservation area or civil or criminal penalties. An example of this is the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 written by the Australian Government under the Department of the Environment. They have enforcement mechanisms for suspected non-compliances which include such penalties to deter individuals or corporations from harming biodiversity. 

Additionally, more incentives should be created by the government, for example through subsidies which can help the livestock producers to be more willing to conserve such areas and protect biodiversity.

Happy Meatless Monday! Tune in next Monday for a new post on a wrap up of the environmental harm of livestock

LAND DEGRADATION

The livestock sector is by far the single largest anthropogenic user of land; it accounts for 30% of the land surface of the planet.

After a refreshing weekend, I'm back for a new post on our Meatless Monday's! I hope you had a great weekend too! In today's post, we will be discussing land degradation as a consequence of the livestock sector, so get ready for some important info!

Land degradation is a direct result of the following:

i) Extensive grazing

Extensive grazing leads to a degradation of vast areas of land. Livestock production is shifting geographically, first from rural areas to urban and peri-urban, to get closer to consumers, then towards the sources of feedstuff. Due to convenience and to cut costs, this has expanded the areas affected by extensive grazing. Finally, grazing reduces the fertility of the land. This is important because it means that the quality of the soil is greatly reduced, such that plants would be supplied with less nutrients when grown on this soil. As a result, humans need to turn to other ways of production for good quality produce such as through organic farming.

ii) Deforestation

Since demand for meat production is increasing for various reasons, the land that we have for livestock also needs to be increasing. Countless acres of forest and rainforest land have had to have been cleared as an opportunity cost of raising livestock in large areas. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the UN has estimated that 70% of previously forested land in South America has been converted for grazing land. As a result, it leads to further problems such as a loss in habitat as well as affecting global warming by reducing the trees available to convert carbon dioxide to oxygen.

Solutions to overgrazing:

If you read the previous post, you would have come across the 'free rider problem'. Again, it pops up here. Grazing is not really priced at... well, anything. Because of this, there is a high chance of exploiting this resource. The best solution to this is to introduce grazing fees. Perhaps removing obstacles to mobility on common property pastures will allow pasture sustainability as pastoralists can rotate the crop areas whilst the degraded land can be regenerated. Finally, soil conservation methods should be put into practise more often, this may be maintained through incentives, and by placing limits to uncontrolled burning by pastoralists.

Solutions to deforestation:

Some possible solutions outlined by Greenpeace include the help from companies who have the power and control to introduce zero deforestation policies. This is where the production of the goods are based on minimalising the negative impacts on forests. Furthermore, more emphasis on the bad environmental impacts created by these companies should be put into light by consumers.

Overall, many of us may dismiss overgrazing and deforestation because we are not directly affected by these impacts; the negative knock on effects are gradual such that humans do not see the issues as urgent. However, these issues are affecting the plants, animals and the quality of our lives and future generations. I hope you took something away from this week's post, we will focus on the negative effects on animals next week, so don't forget to come back next Monday!

Happy Meatless Monday! Tune in next Monday for a new post on Biodiversity